Central Michigan
Men
-
Women
2016
-
2017 -
2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
255 |
Megan O'Neil |
JR |
20:25 |
464 |
Taylor Aguillon |
SR |
20:47 |
694 |
Hannah Davis |
SR |
21:08 |
1,304 |
Alexis Grandys |
FR |
21:48 |
1,638 |
Samantha Allmacher |
JR |
22:08 |
2,086 |
Paula Merino |
FR |
22:38 |
2,112 |
Erin Zdrosewski |
JR |
22:40 |
2,122 |
Ana Garcia |
FR |
22:41 |
2,300 |
Natalie Beaulieu |
SO |
22:57 |
2,530 |
Carissa Gobbi |
FR |
23:19 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
0.6% |
Top 20 in Regional |
97.3% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Megan O'Neil |
Taylor Aguillon |
Hannah Davis |
Alexis Grandys |
Samantha Allmacher |
Paula Merino |
Erin Zdrosewski |
Ana Garcia |
Natalie Beaulieu |
Carissa Gobbi |
MSU Spartan Invitational |
09/15 |
982 |
20:20 |
20:25 |
20:57 |
23:12 |
22:25 |
|
22:48 |
22:43 |
22:30 |
22:31 |
Louisville Classic (Gold) |
09/30 |
1084 |
20:24 |
21:04 |
21:12 |
21:42 |
22:10 |
22:55 |
22:41 |
22:34 |
22:57 |
23:24 |
Pre-Nationals (Black) |
10/14 |
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22:23 |
22:51 |
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23:53 |
Pre-Nationals (Red) |
10/14 |
1071 |
20:36 |
20:20 |
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21:38 |
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22:31 |
23:25 |
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Mid-American Championship |
10/28 |
1021 |
20:10 |
21:07 |
21:06 |
21:11 |
21:54 |
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22:26 |
22:57 |
23:21 |
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Great Lakes Region Championships |
11/10 |
1088 |
20:28 |
20:54 |
21:15 |
22:00 |
22:25 |
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22:35 |
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22:38 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
16.5 |
473 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
5.6 |
9.2 |
13.8 |
16.4 |
16.3 |
13.0 |
12.5 |
6.3 |
2.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Megan O'Neil |
3.1% |
141.0 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Megan O'Neil |
36.5 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
Taylor Aguillon |
61.5 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Hannah Davis |
85.0 |
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Alexis Grandys |
131.3 |
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Samantha Allmacher |
155.8 |
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Paula Merino |
188.2 |
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Erin Zdrosewski |
190.0 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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2 |
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2 |
3 |
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3 |
4 |
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4 |
5 |
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5 |
6 |
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6 |
7 |
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7 |
8 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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8 |
9 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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9 |
10 |
0.4% |
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0.4 |
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10 |
11 |
1.0% |
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1.0 |
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11 |
12 |
2.9% |
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2.9 |
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12 |
13 |
5.6% |
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5.6 |
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13 |
14 |
9.2% |
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9.2 |
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14 |
15 |
13.8% |
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13.8 |
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15 |
16 |
16.4% |
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16.4 |
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16 |
17 |
16.3% |
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16.3 |
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17 |
18 |
13.0% |
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13.0 |
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18 |
19 |
12.5% |
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12.5 |
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19 |
20 |
6.3% |
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6.3 |
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20 |
21 |
2.1% |
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2.1 |
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21 |
22 |
0.5% |
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0.5 |
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22 |
23 |
0.3% |
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0.3 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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0.0 |